Ad spend optimization: Why you need an AI-powered strategy

Updated on May 12, 2025
Screenshot of Keen platform's segments feature that allows agencies to look at ad spend across brands.
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Ad spend optimization sounds simple on paper: spend money where it works best. But if you’re managing multi-channel campaigns for multiple clients, you know it’s never that easy.

Every platform reports success in its own way. Every client wants faster results with tighter budgets. And most of the time, agencies are stuck making reactive decisions based on lagging or biased data.

This is where AI-powered ad media spend optimization changes the game. Instead of waiting for problems to show up in your reporting, you can forecast, plan, and shift budgets before performance drops.

Key highlights:

  • Ad spend optimization is the process of adjusting your media budget to get better results from your marketing campaigns. 
  • Manual ad media spend optimization is reactive, time-consuming, and often driven by flawed platform metrics.
  • Using AI to optimize ad spend helps you forecast outcomes, allocate spend smarter, and improve performance at scale.
  • AI-powered media planning tools like Keen give you cross-channel visibility, incrementality measurement, and faster model refreshes.

What is ad spend optimization?

Ad spend optimization is the process of allocating media budgets across different channels, platforms, and campaigns to drive the best possible business results.

Optimizing ad spend isn’t just cutting the budget or getting a cheaper cost per click. It’s about making sure every dollar you spend is driving measurable outcomes, like revenue, leads, or profit.

Read more: Best tactics for marketing spend optimization

Why agencies struggle to optimize ad spend manually

Most agencies still treat ad media spend optimization like a reporting exercise: look at last month’s performance, shift budget, repeat. But that doesn’t work anymore. Manual optimization breaks down for three core reasons:

1. Media complexity is out of control

You’re not just running search ads anymore. For example, in 2024, social and streaming combined captured 35% of media budgets, while search commanded 26% and linear TV still held 20%, according to Keen’s 2024 Marketing Insights Report. Modern media plans span:

  • Social media
  • CTV
  • Programmatic ad campaigns
  • Retail media ad platforms
  • Influencer spend
  • Audio
  • OOH

Every platform has its own reporting logic, marketing attribution model, and optimization controls. No human team can process this data fast enough, especially when each platform is biased toward maximizing its own spend.

2. Manual optimization is reactive by design

Most media plans shift ad expenditure after seeing poor performance. By the time you pull reports, clean the ad spent data, and find performance gaps, your client has already lost money. 

Optimization has to happen before spend hits the market—not after the fact. Manual processes trap agencies in a cycle of lagging decisions.

3. Platform data is biased

Platforms optimize digital ad spending for their own goals, not your client’s. For example:

  • Google Ads reports conversion lift, but only within Google.
  • Meta shows return on ad spend (ROAS) without accounting for other channels driving assist value.
  • CTV platforms report reach without deduplication across devices.

This leads to double-counting, misattributed credit, and wasted spend.

Here’s how your agency operates today and what changes when you bring in AI.

Manual ad spend optimizationAI-powered ad spend optimization
Manual reporting, slow budget shiftsPredictive planning and faster budget moves
Reliance on platform ROASIncrementality-driven channel performance metrics (true return on investment via iROAS)
Channel-by-channel optimizationCross-channel budget allocation
Months-long marketing mix modeling (MMM) cyclesAlways-on model refresh and planning
Siloed data and limited visibilityUnified measurement of marketing campaign performance across channels

What does AI-powered media spend optimization look like?

AI-powered media spend optimization solves the problems humans can’t: processing hundreds of data points fast enough to inform real-time decisions. Here’s what that looks like in practice.

1. Budget allocation based on response curves

Every marketing channel has a response curve: a non-linear relationship between spend and return:

  • In the early stages, additional budget drives outsized returns.
  • Past a certain point (the inflection point), returns plateau or decline, called saturation.

AI-powered systems like MMM build these response curves using historical performance data combined with external signals (like seasonality or market trends). Leveraging such an AI tool, you can allocate budget based on diminishing returns and marketing incrementality, not based on last-click ROAS or cost-per-click.

2. Predictive scenario planning replaces static media plans

Traditional media plans lock budgets months in advance based on forecasts that assume market conditions stay static. AI-powered optimization replaces this with dynamic scenario modeling using predictive analytics.

Example questions AI can answer in seconds:

  • If we pull $200K from paid search, where will it drive the most incremental revenue next month?
  • What’s the forecasted impact of moving budget from retargeting to upper-funnel channels?
  • How should I adjust spend if CPMs spike 20% during a peak period?

These aren’t hypothetical questions. They’re daily operational needs for media teams working at scale. AI makes this scenario-based marketing planning possible. What’s more, you can select or deselect the platforms you want to consider in your scenarios in just a single click with Keen:

Keen’s data integration capability.

3. Incrementality measurement across the entire media mix 

Incrementality is the gold standard of marketing performance measurement because it isolates true cause-and-effect. Without using AI in optimizing your ad media spend, you:

  • Rely on platform conversion rate tracking (which is flawed post-privacy changes).
  • Risk double-counting conversions across channels.
  • Over-credited retargeting for conversions that would have happened anyway.

AI-powered media planning tools like Keen show you incrementality modeling (iROAS) to measure the real value of every dollar spent. Plus, the models also account for channel overlap, brand effects, and changing consumer shopping behavior patterns.

3 reasons to start optimizing ad spend with AI now

Using AI-powered media spend optimization isn’t optional when you need to stay competitive in a media environment that moves faster and gets more complex every quarter. If your agency isn’t already investing in this capability, here’s what you’re up against.

1. Clients expect smarter media management, not just execution

Bid management, audience targeting, creative testing; platforms automate most of this already. Clients aren’t paying for execution. They’re paying for answers:

  • Where should we invest next quarter?
  • How do we balance brand and performance spend?
  • What’s driving incremental growth, not just attributed conversions?

If your agency can’t deliver those answers fast and backed by data, someone else will. AI helps you model future outcomes under different marketing budget scenarios. You’re not reacting to performance after the fact, but shaping it before spend hits the market.

2. Top agencies are already using AI media planning to win

Leading agencies are separating themselves in new business pitches—not by claiming they “optimize media” but by showing how they plan and forecast like a business strategy partner. 

They’re coming to the table with:

AI gives your team this same capability. In fact, you can operationalize for every client, not just a few enterprise accounts. For example, Keen gives you specific dashboards you can use for your clients:

Keen’s MMM for agencies helping in creating new campaigns for clients.

3. Manual optimization is breaking the agency profitability model

Running optimization manually doesn’t scale in the current fragmented media environment. In fact, AI-enabled advertising spend hit $370 billion in 2022 and is projected to surpass $1.3 trillion by 2032, according to Statista.

Without AI-powered marketing tools, agencies are forced to:

  • Hire more people to manage growing media complexity
  • Spend hours on reporting and ad spend data cleanup
  • Accept lower margins on media management fees

AI doesn’t just optimize media—it optimizes how your agency operates. Automating data handling, ad spend monitoring, and budget reallocation frees up your best people to focus on marketing strategy instead of spreadsheets. Case in point: 77% of marketers say they still spend 10+ hours a week working in spreadsheets, according to MarTech’s Career and Salary Survey.

Lead client growth by optimizing ad spend for performance marketing with Keen

Brands don’t need media executors anymore. They need partners who can connect marketing investment to growth strategy, the strategists who can answer “what’s next?” not just “what happened?”

That’s what AI-powered ad spend optimization offers. It gives agencies the systems, models, and foresight to move beyond platform metrics. 

Keen’s media planning solution was built to help you lead this next era of media management. With always-on marketing mix models, scenario planning tools, and incrementality metrics like iROAS, our platform helps you allocate budgets smarter, prove impact faster, and stay ahead of client expectations.Request a demo to see how Keen can help you optimize your ad spend.

Ready to transform your marketing strategy?